Description

This analysis provides a forecast of FTM prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2024-12-01 00:00:00+00:00 0.726035 0.843257 0.970542 1.118659 1.285900 1.468499 1.682558
2024-12-08 00:00:00+00:00 0.537114 0.694047 0.880048 1.115148 1.402613 1.740795 2.166702
2024-12-15 00:00:00+00:00 0.437655 0.619197 0.850749 1.163905 1.571978 2.080881 2.757991
2024-12-22 00:00:00+00:00 0.362309 0.555511 0.818283 1.194899 1.712672 2.390280 3.333076
2024-12-29 00:00:00+00:00 0.318838 0.524298 0.819623 1.264193 1.903246 2.773303 4.028470
2025-01-05 00:00:00+00:00 0.265857 0.468302 0.775354 1.259816 1.986118 3.012049 4.542238
2025-01-12 00:00:00+00:00 0.221558 0.416905 0.728705 1.242775 2.043969 3.214342 5.013297
2025-01-19 00:00:00+00:00 0.187336 0.375376 0.690296 1.231166 2.104694 3.420225 5.497771
2025-01-26 00:00:00+00:00 0.165646 0.351426 0.676325 1.254975 2.219236 3.710448 6.121100
2025-02-02 00:00:00+00:00 0.146028 0.327633 0.658853 1.269673 2.318236 3.980800 6.727736
2025-02-09 00:00:00+00:00 0.128354 0.304324 0.638720 1.276521 2.402982 4.231873 7.316411
2025-02-16 00:00:00+00:00 0.116263 0.290057 0.632955 1.307206 2.528790 4.554351 8.033259
2025-02-23 00:00:00+00:00 0.102304 0.269793 0.613924 1.312997 2.614207 4.820118 8.681422
2025-03-02 00:00:00+00:00 0.085519 0.240030 0.572140 1.271388 2.611752 4.939058 9.096758
2025-03-09 00:00:00+00:00 0.078521 0.231679 0.572874 1.311743 2.760832 5.323864 9.974947
2025-03-16 00:00:00+00:00 0.071368 0.221532 0.568339 1.340731 2.890263 5.681236 10.824161
2025-03-23 00:00:00+00:00 0.068325 0.221303 0.585360 1.415150 3.110983 6.211006 11.994784
2025-03-30 00:00:00+00:00 0.060104 0.205603 0.565333 1.409552 3.175420 6.463522 12.693374
2025-04-06 00:00:00+00:00 0.052162 0.188875 0.540448 1.390490 3.210853 6.663868 13.307769
2025-04-13 00:00:00+00:00 0.045632 0.174704 0.519556 1.377594 3.256768 6.884550 13.966908
2025-04-20 00:00:00+00:00 0.041814 0.167959 0.516161 1.403787 3.384724 7.265488 14.933804
2025-04-27 00:00:00+00:00 0.037933 0.160120 0.508844 1.419961 3.492338 7.612476 15.852717
2025-05-04 00:00:00+00:00 0.034116 0.151565 0.498405 1.427498 3.581587 7.927830 16.725649